Archive for June 2008

With Friends Like These (Pt. 1)

Today is June 25, 2008, the 58th anniversary of Japan’s America’s North Korea’s invasion of South Korea.  I hope you’ll excuse my temporary confusion; my han has been acting up again:

More than half of teenagers here do not know when the Korean War broke out or who started it, showing ignorance about the country’s history and national security. 

The Ministry of Public Administration and Security said Monday that a survey of 1,016 middle and high school students showed nearly 57 percent didn’t know the war started on June 25, 1950.  Moreover, 51 percent did not know that the war started with North Korea’s invasion of the South. About 14 percent picked Japan as the nation responsible for the war; 13.4 percent, the United States, and 11 percent Russia. About 2 percent even said it was the South invading the North.

While the United States is regarded as the main ally of the country, 28 percent said it was the key “threat” for national security, 4 percentage points higher than North Korea.

Only 56 percent said they felt threatened by the North’s nuclear weapons development, adding that the chance of another Korean War taking place was very low.  [Korea Times, emphasis mine, ht to Brian]

Everybody — We’re number one!  We’re number one!   Be sure you shout it twice.

And the purpose of a multi-billion-dollar military commitment to this country is what, exactly?  (More)

Kos Diarist Calls for Prayers for Michelle Malkin’s Death

Thanks to everyone of every point of view who linked to this post.  Of course, any high traffic post is a mixed blessing.  You get good links and comments and widen the circulation of your ideas, and you also dredge the swamp. Â I’d have to say that the call by Kos diarist “Gramarye” for prayers for Michelle Malkin’s death (and after her blog linked this one) sets a new low.  Seriously:

According to her blog,

“Take me now, Lord. My life as a blogger is complete.”

[....]  So let’s all help Michelle’s request along and say a little prayer to the Lord. [....]  But I have HOPE for Michelle’s plea.  [Daily Kos]

I recall reading that Michelle has a husband and young daughter, which I suppose makes this especially classless.  This would not be the first time Kos’s rhetoric was an embarrassment to itself.  Yes, I kept screenshots.  In fairness, many of the Kos commenters disapprove. 

Obama Gets Another Unwanted Endorsement

[Update: Well, that didn't take long. Welcome from Little Green Footballs, Michelle Maklin, the Jawa Report, the unlinkable Memeorandum, and my good friend at Gateway Pundit. Regulars here know that I'm completely disgusted with Bush's own appeasement of Kim Jong Il, but while you're here, don't miss the story of Esther Kim, an Obama constituent whose husband was kidnapped and killed by the North Koreans. Obama inspired her Hope, then crushed it with Change.]

The Chosun Sinbo, the mouthpiece of North Korea’s Japanese front organization Chongryon and often for the North Korean regime itself, has announced its preference for Obama over McCain, whom it calls “a variant of Bush” and “nothing better than a scarecrow of neoconservatives,” which is a bit odd considering that the Bush Administration’s giveaway diplomacy is better for Kim Jong Il than even Clinton’s awful performance

[Update 2:  Original Korean here: Â Â 

조선반도와의 관계에서 본다면 부쉬정권의 잘못을 엄하게 비판하고 조선의 지도자와 조건없이 만나겠다고 공언해온 오바마가 《부쉬의 아류》이자 네오콘의 허수아비나 다름없는 매케인보다 낫기는 낫다.  [Chosun Shinbo]

I’m sure someone can improve on this translation:

We will see a better relationship between the U.S. and the Korean Peninsula with Obama, who sternly criticizes Bush and who would meet the leader of Chosun without pre-conditions, than with the “Bush clone” and scarecrow of the neocons McCain.

Somehow I had neglected to put the World Tribune link in there before.  I’ve fixed that.]

It’s worth pausing to consider the disturbing rhetorical similarity between the Chosun Sinbo and Daily Kos, although the sheer incoherence of Bush’s North Korea policy makes any comparison to it questionable. 

Bush’s North Korea policy may be a poor baseline for comparison, but the candidates themselves have given the North Koreans plenty to judge them by.  Both Obama and McCain have told us how they’d deal with the North Koreans.  McCain has expressed his distaste for the latest variation of Bush’s policy and emphasized his willingness to raise uncomfortable topics, including human rights. Â Obama has already shown a disappointing lack of consistency in holding North Korea accountable for its intolerable behavior.  If I understand Obama’s policy to consist of direct summit talks, aid, and trying to coax North Korea into opening itself up, that same policy was tried for years, without success, by the South Koreans, and it’s now being tried without success by President Bush.  If I understand McCain’s policy to consist of tightening sanctions until North Korea verifiably disarms, that was tried briefly by the Bush Administration and showed signs of considerable success until its inexplicable and premature abandonment.

(Bear in mind that the sanctions the Bush Administration applied for just 17 months were a pale shadow of the power we could potentially apply but did succeed in driving Kim Jong Il back to the bargaining table.  When we lifted the pressure, the North Koreans resorted to form and balked at full disclosure or disarmament.  And as we’ve since learned, they weren’t dealing in good faith to begin with. The key to any successful negotiation with the North Koreans is showing them that you’re fully capable and prepared to hasten and accept the collapse of the regime as an alternative.)

North Korea’s endorsement of Obama will probably draw comparisons to the unwanted Hamas endorsement of Obama. Hamas withdrew the endorsement after Obama spoke at AIPAC’s convention.  Fidel Castro, by contrast, took a more sophisticated and self-aware approach:

[O]n Monday [Castro] gave Senator Barack Obama an endorsement of sorts, calling him “the most progressive candidate to the U.S. presidency” while also berating him for his plan to continue the trade embargo against Cuba. “Were I to defend him, I would do his adversaries an enormous favor,” Mr. Castro said. “I have therefore no reservations about criticizing him.Â  [N.Y. Times, The Caucus] 

Which Castro then proceeded to do, on Obama’s stated support for trade sanctions during a campaign speech to Cuban exiles in Miami.

The Republicans’ efforts to capitalize on the Hamas endorsement made me slightly squeamish, because there are separate issues here that shouldn’t be mixed.  It isn’t fair for anyone to imply, based on an unwanted endorsement, that a candidate in any way supports the endorsing entity’s ideology or actions.  It is fair to ask whether the endorsement suggests that the endorsing entity knows something about the candidate.  Why would Hamas or Kim Jong Il both believe that if Obama is elected, his policies would mean boom times for evildoers? Â Are they wrong? 

Finally, as with Ron Paul’s refusal to return contributions from white supremacists, it’s reasonable to demand that a candidate unambiguously disavow the endorsement and denounce the endorser.  In the case of Hamas, Obama rightly did this.  Given that North Korea’s human rights atrocities are as repellent as any since the Khmer Rouge was driven from Phnom Penh 30 years ago, Obama has both the duty to speak out about the evils happening in North Korea today and an opportunity to refute those who say he would merely appease tyrants. 

Update 3:  Now I’m been linked by the Hillary Clinton forum:

One of the reasons he supports Obama is that he knows he’s a fool and Obama flip flopped on removing N. Korea (de-listing) from the terrorist nation list. He NOW says he would remove them even though they haven’t divulged the whereabouts of Rev. Kim (a legal US citizen living in N. Korea). See my post about compiling a list of Obama’s broken promises.

This needs to be blogged and sent everywhere!! Obama is a very dangerous man! Fearing him is not paranoia. It is rational thought!

Update 4:  Thanks to Ace, Neal Boortz, and the Freepers for linking. 

And we have dredged a swamp.  Pandagon, which will forever be remembered (by most of those who do at all, at least) as an embarrassment to the John Edwards campaign, offers a characteristically incoherent and foul rant.  Your thirteen minutes are over, ladies.  I can say “ladies,” can’t I?  See your doctor if any of that seems coherent to you. Â I didn’t think we could set a lower bar, but Kos diarist “Gramarye” links with this fatwa calling for prayers for Michelle Malkin’s death.  No, seriously:

According to her blog,

Take me now, Lord. My life as a blogger is complete.

[....] 

So let’s all help Michelle’s request along and say a little prayer to the Lord. [....]  But I have HOPE for Michelle’s plea.  [Daily Kos]
Hey, they have standards to uphold over there.  Yes, I kept screenshots.  To be fair, even most of the Kos commenters are aghast.

North Korea Denies Bird Flu Reports

Good Friends had previously passed along rumors that an avian flu epidemic is spreading through northeastern North Korea.  Now, the regime is denying that, for whatever it’s worth.

Why Should We Believe Chris Hill?

Chris Hill is the man in whom Congress will have to invest its trust if it decides to throw away America’s leverage and let the State Department de-list North Korea as a state sponsor of terrorism this summer.  The terms of Hill’s deal with Kim Jong Il are so hopelessly vague and endlessly flexible that the viability of this whole process rests on two thin and brittle reeds: Kim Jong Il’s good faith and Chris Hill’s veracity. Â Enough said?  If not, read on.

Today, Hill’s credibility finds itself wedged between Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post and one Professor Yoichi Shimada, a Professor of International Relations at Fukui Prefectural University in Japan and a well-known activist on behalf of Japanese abducted by North Korea.  Shimada is sufficiently well regarded to have testified before the House International Relations Committee in April 2006.  At issue is a letter Shimada says he delivered to Hill from the widow of Rev. Kim Dong Shik, a wheelchair-bound missionary, lawful permanent U.S. resident, and humanitarian who was trying to rescue North Korean refugees.  The North Koreans kidnapped Rev. Kim in China in 2001, carried him back to North Korea (without China’s knowledge, we must suppose), and starved him to death, thus consigning him to the same fate as millions of North Koreans. 

In his June 18th article about Rev. Kim and the government that forgot him, Kessler writes:

Advocates for Japanese abductees met last November in Washington with Assistant Secretary of State Christopher R. Hill, the administration’s chief negotiator with North Korea, and say they handed him a letter from Kim’s wife urging the administration to demand a full accounting of her husband’s fate. “How can it be true that North Korea is no longer a terror-sponsoring nation,” the letter asked, when Kim “was kidnapped and his fate is still not known to us?”

Yoichi Shimada, a Japanese professor who accompanied a Japanese lawmaker to the meeting, said that when they gave Hill the letter, “we reiterated that the abduction issue was not a Japan-NK bilateral one but an international one involving even a U.S. permanent resident.” He said Hill made no comment.

Kim’s wife said she did not receive a reply. Hill has no memory of receiving her letter, a State Department official said, but would answer it if she re-sent it. 

We are concerned about this case and all the other cases of abductions,” Hill said in a statement. “I have raised repeatedly with North Korea the need to address concerns about the abduction issue, not only with respect to Japan, but other countries as well, including South Korea.” [Washington Post, Glenn Kessler; emphasis mine] 

Significantly, Kessler can barely contain his crush on Hill and features him prominently in a book he’s now hawking.  Perhaps unwittingly, Kessler sets Hill up to be directly refuted by Prof. Shimada, to whom I wrote today, and who gave me permission to publish his response:

Since the meeting on Nov. 15th, 2007, was held as one between the Japanese delegation and Chris Hill, Mrs. Kim Don-shik was not present there.

However, we handed Chris Hill her letter on the spot explaining abduction was not at all Japan-NK bilateral issue like I told a Washington Post reporter.

We handed Mr. Hill, not his subordinate or anyone else, Mrs. Kim’s letter directly. Period.  [E-mail message from Prof. Yoichi Shimada to OFK, June 21, 2008; emphasis mine]

Both stories can only be true if you really believe Hill simply forgot this, in which case he must concede his own callousness and the falsity of his expressions of concern about Rev. Kim’s kidnapping and death. Â 

The other possibility is that he didn’t forget.  I believe I previously caught Hill lying to an assemblage of reporters last year when he denied having had “a chance” to review North Korea’s nuclear declaration during a November 2007 visit to Pyongyang.  The North Koreans later alleged, and State was forced to admit, that they offered a declaration that was so facially deficent that State refused to accept it.  Hill had a motive to deny the abortive declaration to conceal North Korea’s bad faith.  (A rumor passed along by a friend is that the North simply re-offered its old 1994 declaration, which Hill refused to accept.  I’ve never heard Hill’s or State’s explanation for this, but Victor Cha bravely obfuscates in an effort to defend Hill despite Cha’s evident distaste for Hill’s media exhibitionism — see the bottom of page 1.)

On a related note, we are still awaiting word from the General Accountability Office as to whether the April 2007 return of millions in criminally derived funds from a Macau bank to the North Korean regime, at Hill’s urging, violated U.S. money laundering laws, to say nothing of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1718.

At the very least, someone should explain to Mrs. Kim why everyone in her government from either party has betrayed her, her husband, their children, and the cause for which he gave his life at a time when President Bush was paying it the supreme tribute of false words.  Just so that we can dispense with the nonsense that State hasn’t seen Mrs. Kim’s letter, I’ve uploaded the full text:

mrs-kim-dong-shik-letter-to-hill1.doc

You may say that the story of Rev. Kim Dong Shik is only the story of one man who lies dead and buried a nation filled with mass graves. Â You might argue the situational ethics of subordinating the interests of those who knew and loved him to the security of millions, if only Hill’s diplomacy were remotely likely to produce such a result.  But there is more significance to the story of Kim Dong Shik than the little white lie of absolving Kim Jong Il of terrorism.  This story is a microcosm of North Korea’s refusal to conform its behavior to any norms of civilization, and of America’s endless willingness to accommodate itself to Kim Jong Il’s every lie, insult, threat, crime, and atrocity.  Not only does it illustrate why we can’t trust Kim Jong Il, it illustrates why we cannot trust Chris Hill.

Kim Jong Il won’t give up his nukes, ever.  His own minions have has told us so, if we’re willing to listen.  Not even Chris Hill could possibly believe otherwise.  If Hill has other motives for pressing on with his failing initiative, he should explain what they are so that we can have an honest discussion about them.  Given the fact that State, on Hill’s advice, has put off demanding up-front disclosure or disarmament for the foreseeable future, we’re entitled to be skeptical about a process that has descended into diplomatic onanism, because we’re only negotiating against ourselves now.

Some Food Situation Updates

MARCUS NOLAND FORWARDS two more updates on North Korea’s food situation.  The first (“North Korea: The Emergence of Pre-famine Conditions”) is co-authored with Stephan Haggard; the second (“Korean Institutional Reform in Comparative Perspective”) is co-authored with Erik Weeks. 

RICE EATERS, CORN EATERS, GRASS EATERS:  The Daily NK has more on how the different classes in North Korea are surviving the current food crisis, and a very detailed report on food aid monitoring and manipulation.  Among other things, some members of the elite are now forced to suffer the indignity of eating corn, something you should keep in mind when you consider this well-intentioned appeal.  As before, it’s not a famine for everyone, though very few people are overeating.

Anju Links for 20 June 2008

THE KOREAN GOVERNMENT HAS PUBLISHED a guidebook for foreigners.  The guidebook contains a warning about the dangers of … fan death. Â Have you heard of this “fan death?”  (ht). 

BUT WE MUSTN’T POLITICIZE THE OLYMPICS:  China’s anti-North Korean refugee pogrom continues, though almost no one sees fit to mention it, and the people of South Korea still don’t really care about it.  I wonder if they’d care more if they felt completely safe criticizing China.

AT TIMES, IT ALMOST SEEMS as if the State Department and the Pentagon answer to different presidents

SOME THOUGHTS ON THE SIGNIFICANCE OF JUNE 15TH from Prof. Sung-Yoon Lee.  In retrospect, I think the very fact that we’re still talking it about may overstate its significance, though the unifiction is a persistent myth.

MILITARY SECOND:  The Daily NK has more on a significant development in North Korean Kremlinology — the subordination of the once-supreme military to the secret police.  This is a dangerous game for the regime.

THE KOREAN CHURCH COALITION will hold a series of prayer vigils thoughout the United States starting this month, on behalf of North Korean refugees in China.  I’ve posted the full press release and a link below the fold. Read more

How Much More Don’t We Know?

There are two unfolding enigmas from that black hole of disappearing humanity known as North Korea this week.  The L.A. Times catches us up on the rumors that North Korea may soon “discover” that, notwithstanding years of denials, it may have some more Japanese abductees after all.  I wonder how many Yen this will cost the Japanese in ransom reparations.  Wouldn’t that make this, you know, terrorism?

The second story involves an American who has been missing since the Korean War, who turns out to have been brought into China, where he died and was secretly buried in apparent violation of the Armistice:

After decades of denials, the Chinese have acknowledged burying an American prisoner of war in China, telling the U.S. that a teenage soldier captured in the Korean War died a week after he “became mentally ill,” according to documents provided to The Associated Press. 

China had long insisted that all POW questions were answered at the conclusion of the war in 1953 and that no Americans were moved to Chinese territory from North Korea. The little-known case of Army Sgt. Richard G. Desautels, of Shoreham, Vt., opens another chapter in this story and raises the possibility that new details concerning the fate of other POWs may eventually surface.  [AP, Robert Burns]

Credit for revealing Sgt. Desaultels’s story goes to the National Alliance of families, which recently joined the fight against the atrocities in North Korea.  They’re holding their convention today in Virginia.

Brain, Trust

The other day, commenter Sonagi asked, “Now who do you think is more likely to excise the vestigal organ that is USFK – McCain or Obama?”  Judging by this, the answer is “neither one.”  McCain’s choice of a brain trust is generally disappointing, at least as depicted here, although McCain’s own statements on North Korea have been spot-on, and sounded as though they came from his own mind and heart (Obama, not so much). Â Gordon Flake, a very bright and very nice person whom I interviewed here, is in the Obama camp, which certainly encourages me that Obama would have some adult supervision. 

Who Remembers Kim Dong Shik? Answer: The Washington Post, Barack Obama, and Condoleezza Rice

Regular readers know that I’ve been a persistent critic of politicians of both parties who would politicize and trivialize two essential and long-standing principles of American national security policy:  the intolerance of state terrorism, and the intolerance of proliferation.  North Korea’s refusal to be bound by any norms of human civilization tempts a certain class of politician to simply exempt North Korea from those principles.  Notwithstanding President Bush’s hawkish and mostly empty words, his administration is about to do exactly that for the dubious political rewards of a deal that won’t disarm North Korea. Â 

You will also recall that in this recent post, I published a letter containing Barack Obama’s signature, in which Obama and other members of the Illinois congressional delegation promised to oppose de-listing North Korea as a state sponsor of terrorism until North Korea accounts for Rev. Kim, whom its agents are believed to have kidnapped in China in 2001.  (I invite anyone to correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe I’m the first to have published it.)  Rev. Kim is believed to have died under interrogation [Update: Another theory has it that they starved him to death].  His body is still in North Korea.  North Korean agent Ryu Young-Hwa* was convicted of taking part in the crime and sits in a South Korean jail today. Â 

An appeasement-loving press corps has mostly suspended its withering criticism of George W. Bush on North Korea, in spite of his unprincipled betrayals regarding Kim Jong Il’s human rights atrocities.  That’s why it’s doubly unexpected see any of them scrape Barack Obama’s hair off of their tongues long enough to speak of his first broken promise:

In January 2005, Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and other Illinois lawmakers co-signed a letter to North Korea’s ambassador to the United Nations, describing Kim as a “hero” and demanding answers from North Korea about his whereabouts. The signatories warned that they would oppose North Korea’s removal from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism — long a goal of the government in Pyongyang — until a “full accounting” of Kim’s abduction was provided.

But the case of the only North Korea abductee with U.S. connections has been largely forgotten as the Bush administration has pressed ahead on a diplomatic deal to end North Korea’s nuclear program. The State Department has all but ignored the pleas of lawmakers and Kim’s wife for greater attention to the case. And the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee no longer believes that North Korea’s removal from the terrorism list should be conditional on information about Kim.  [Washington Post, Glenn Kessler]

There’s a personal irony here for me.  Last February, I attended this panel discussion at a synagogue in northern Virginia that featured Kessler, Mark Mazzetti of the New York Times, and NPR’s Don Siegal. Â The subject was North Korea’s suspected nuclear proliferation to Syria.  I didn’t mention this before because I wanted to do some research first, but at the Q&A session at the end of the event, I specifically asked Kessler about Rev. Kim’s case in the context of removing North Korea from the list of state sponsors of terrorism.  Had you been there, you’d have agreed that Kessler seemed dismissive and uninterested in the question of Rev. Kim and the implications of his abduction — or any other abductions – for North Korea’s terror de-listing.  When I related the facts of Rev. Kim’s case, Kessler’s reaction was nonplussed, and he seemed unfamiliar with it.  I asserted, and Kessler disputed, that congressional action would be necessary for de-listing North Korea (in fact, such action is Congress’s prerogative, only if it objects to the de-listing). 

Now that more congressional action — successful or otherwise — to oppose that de-listing seems imminent, I hope Kessler will have enough class to award me the argument.  As for Kessler’s implicit concession of the significance of this story, I’m frankly so astonished by Kessler’s decision to cover this story and cover it accurately that I’ll waive any claim on that.

* By an unfortunate coincidence, one of Rev. Kim’s kidnappers shares a common first name with his widow.