U.N. Security Council Resolution Takes Shape Passes Resolution 1718

Update: Too good to be true? Looks like the vote will be delayed … probably so that the Chinese and Russians can water this thing down.

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Update 2:   On again.   Supposedly, there will be a vote today.
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Updated 3:   It passed; analysis below, and the full text at the bottom of this post.   Naturally, the North Korean delegate walked out and denounced everyone for being “gangster-like. This is what the psychologists refer to as “projection.”  John Bolton compared this to Khruschev banging his shoe on the podium.

Ban Ki Moon, now confirmed as UNGS, was on Fox News talking about it tonight.  I’ve never heard anyone say so little with so much stock, boilerplate diplospeak.  Makes me sleepy, only in an angry, resigned, unilateralist  sort of way.

So, what about it?  Really, it’s good — much better than I expected.  Key points in the scorecard below.

Scroll down to the bottom of this post for the full text.

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If the intial reports pan out, it’s surprisingly strong. Here’s a scorecard:

* WMD Interdiction: [link]

A U.S.-backed draft resolution presented to the council earlier Thursday would impose an arms embargo on North Korea, ban all trade linked to its programs for ballistic missiles and nuclear weapons, and permit international inspections of North Korean cargo.

Here’s a portion of the final text:

(f)     in order to ensure compliance with the requirements of this paragraph, and thereby preventing illicit trafficking in nuclear, chemical or biological weapons, their means of delivery and related materials, all Member States are called upon to take, in accordance with their national authorities and legislation, and consistent with international law, cooperative action including through inspection of cargo to and from the DPRK, as necessary;

Good.  The U.N. gives us just enough room for us to use the PSI to  get the work done. 

* Arms Embargo: [link]

“[The draft resolution] also eliminates a blanket arms embargo in the previous draft, instead targeting specific equipment for sanctions including missiles, tanks, warships and combat aircraft.”

Final text:

[A]ll Member States shall prevent the direct or indirect supply, sale or transfer to the DPRK, through their territories or by their nationals, or using their flag vessels or aircraft, and whether or not originating in their territories, of … any battle tanks, armoured combat vehicles, large calibre artillery systems, combat aircraft, attack helicopters, warships, missiles or missile systems as defined for the purpose of the United Nations Register on Conventional Arms, or related materiel including spare parts, or items as determined by the Security Council

I can live with North Korea buying small arms. It’s the big-ticket or WMD-related defense purchases that I’ve long believed that Kim Jong Il should not buy while his people starve.  The ban on spare parts is critical; North Korea’s equipment is aging and will wear out quickly without spares.  They will try to conserve parts by cutting back on training exercises, meaning that their capabilities will degrade substantially within five years (remember, North Korean man  often serve for 12 to 18 years).

* Luxuries for Kim Jong Il and His Minions: “The U.S. text would also prohibit North Korean trade in luxury goods ….” [link] Excellent.  Although the term isn’t further defined in the final text, it probably means no more Hennessey cognac, Mercedes sedans, Omega watches, or other goodies  that  are popular among  loyal party members.  Machiavelli famously contrasted the merits of being feared and loved.  Now, Kim Jong Il’s ability to make himself loved is substantially curtailed.

* Travel Restrictions: “[The U.S. text] would ban travel … of individuals involved in the country’s prohibited weapons programs.” [link]

* WMD-Related Assets: “[The U.S. text would] freeze assets of individuals involved in the country’s prohibited weapons programs.” [link]   The final text says “persons and entities.”

* Further Disarmament: “North Korea would be given 30 days to halt its nuclear activities or face additional international penalties.” No doubt President Bush likes this delaying a more intense confrontration until after the next elections. Good, because it’s really what the six-party talks never were: the threat of a concerted response. [link]   The final resolution, below, demands that North Korea return to the NPT, comply with IAEA safeguards,  suspend its ballistic missile programs, and abandon its nuclear weapons and programs “in a complete, verifiable and irreversible manner.”  Sound familiar?

*   Compliance.   The final text also forms a committee to monitor compliance.  Better, the committee has the power to gather information from member states, to better track down which states are trading with the North Koreans.  It will make additional reports every 90 days, and the resolution threatens further action, if necessary.

* “Military Action:” [link]

The latest draft would only authorize non-military sanctions against the North and clearly states that any further action the council might want to take would require another U.N. resolution.

Meaning, an invasion or direct strike on North Korea, which isn’t really an option anyway.

*   Missile Testing:   The final resolution “demands” no more nuke or missile tests.  It’s about as heavy on the missiles as the nukes.

*   Technology Transfers:  It will be interesting to see how this applies to Iran, with which the North Koreans have a long-standing relationship of nuclear and missile  technology cooperation.

Overall, it actually sounds about as good as you could hope for. I suppose the Russians concluded that they didn’t want the Chechens getting their hands on Kim Jong Il’s production series, and the same may be true of the French and the Salafists in Algeria.

A question that remains is how this will affect the Kaesong Industrial Park and Kumgang, which are really just uncontrolled transfer payments to the regime.  Recall that  U.N.S.C.R. 1695  required members to be “vigilant” about where their money goes.   This resolution, 1718,  has even stronger language:

[Member states shall] ensure that any funds, financial assets or economic resources are prevented from being made available by their nationals or by any persons or entities within their territories, to or for the benefit of such persons or entities;

In fact, South Korea has no idea where its aid to North Korea goes, and has admitted as much.  I expect we’ll opt for a more robust interpretation that South Korea’s “don’t ask, don’t tell” version, which means, “collision course” and some good DOA material. Stay tuned, and don’t miss Richardson’s post  discussing additional  evidence of South Korea’s contribution to North Korea’s nuclear program.

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Update 4:    The full text of resolution 1718 (2006)  follows:

The Security Council,

Recalling its previous relevant resolutions, including resolution 825 (1993), resolution 1540 (2004) and, in particular, resolution 1695 (2006), as well as the statement of its President of 6 October 2006 (S/PRST/2006/41),

“Reaffirming that proliferation of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons, as well as their means of delivery, constitutes a threat to international peace and security,

Expressing the gravest concern at the claim by the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) that it has conducted a test of a nuclear weapon on 9  October 2006, and at the challenge such a test constitutes to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and to international efforts aimed at strengthening the global regime of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons, and the danger it poses to peace and stability in the region and beyond,

Expressing its firm conviction that the international regime on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons should be maintained and recalling that the DPRK cannot have the status of a nuclear-weapon state in accordance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons,

Deploring the DPRK’s announcement of withdrawal from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and its pursuit of nuclear weapons,

Deploring further that the DPRK has refused to return to the six-party talks without precondition,

Endorsing the Joint Statement issued on 19 September 2005 by China, the DPRK, Japan, the Republic of Korea, the Russian Federation and the United States,

Underlining the importance that the DPRK respond to other security and humanitarian concerns of the international community,

Expressing profound concern that the test claimed by the DPRK has generated increased tension in the region and beyond, and determining therefore that there is a clear threat to international peace and security,

Acting under Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations, and taking measures under its Article 41,

“1.    Condemns the nuclear test proclaimed by the DPRK on 9 October 2006 in flagrant disregard of its relevant resolutions, in particular resolution 1695 (2006), as well as of the statement of its President of 6 October 2006 (S/PRST/2006/41), including that such a test would bring universal condemnation of the international community and would represent a clear threat to international peace and security;

“2.    Demands that the DPRK not conduct any further nuclear test or launch of a ballistic missile;

“3.    Demands that the DPRK immediately retract its announcement of withdrawal from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons;

“4.    Demands further that the DPRK return to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards, and underlines the need for all States Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons to continue to comply with their Treaty obligations;

“5.    Decides that the DPRK shall suspend all activities related to its ballistic missile programme and in this context re-establish its pre-existing commitments to a moratorium on missile launching;

“6.    Decides that the DPRK shall abandon all nuclear weapons and existing nuclear programmes in a complete, verifiable and irreversible manner, shall act strictly in accordance with the obligations applicable to parties under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and the terms and conditions of its International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Safeguards Agreement (IAEA INFCIRC/403) and shall provide the IAEA transparency measures extending beyond these requirements, including such access to individuals, documentation, equipments and facilities as may be required and deemed necessary by the IAEA;

“7.    Decides also that the DPRK shall abandon all other existing weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missile programme in a complete, verifiable and irreversible manner;

“8.    Decides that:

(a)     all Member States shall prevent the direct or indirect supply, sale or transfer to the DPRK, through their territories or by their nationals, or using their flag vessels or aircraft, and whether or not originating in their territories, of:

(i)     any battle tanks, armoured combat vehicles, large calibre artillery systems, combat aircraft, attack helicopters, warships, missiles or missile systems as defined for the purpose of the United Nations Register on Conventional Arms, or related materiel including spare parts, or items as determined by the Security Council or the Committee established by paragraph 12 below (the Committee);

 

(ii)   all items, materials, equipment, goods and technology as set out in the lists in documents S/2006/814 and S/2006/815, unless within 14 days of adoption of this resolution the Committee has amended or completed their provisions also taking into account the list in document S/2006/816, as well as other items, materials, equipment, goods and technology, determined by the Security Council or the Committee, which could contribute to DPRK’s nuclear-related, ballistic missile-related or other weapons of mass destruction-related programmes;

(iii)luxury goods;

(b)     the DPRK shall cease the export of all items covered in subparagraphs (a) (i) and (a) (ii) above and that all Member States shall prohibit the procurement of such items from the DPRK by their nationals, or using their flagged vessels or aircraft, and whether or not originating in the territory of the DPRK;

I         all Member States shall prevent any transfers to the DPRK by their nationals or from their territories, or from the DPRK by its nationals or from its territory, of technical training, advice, services or assistance related to the provision, manufacture, maintenance or use of the items in subparagraphs (a) (i) and (a) (ii) above;

(d)     all Member States shall, in accordance with their respective legal processes, freeze immediately the funds, other financial assets and economic resources which are on their territories at the date of the adoption of this resolution or at any time thereafter, that are owned or controlled, directly or indirectly, by the persons or entities designated by the Committee or by the Security Council as being engaged in or providing support for, including through other illicit means, DPRK’s nuclear-related, other weapons of mass destruction-related and ballistic missile-related programmes, or by persons or entities acting on their behalf or at their direction, and ensure that any funds, financial assets or economic resources are prevented from being made available by their nationals or by any persons or entities within their territories, to or for the benefit of such persons or entities;

(e)     all Member States shall take the necessary steps to prevent the entry into or transit through their territories of the persons designated by the Committee or by the Security Council as being responsible for, including through supporting or promoting, DPRK policies in relation to the DPRK’s nuclear-related, ballistic missile-related and other weapons of mass destruction-related programmes, together with their family members, provided that nothing in this paragraph shall oblige a state to refuse its own nationals entry into its territory;

(f)     in order to ensure compliance with the requirements of this paragraph, and thereby preventing illicit trafficking in nuclear, chemical or biological weapons, their means of delivery and related materials, all Member States are called upon to take, in accordance with their national authorities and legislation, and consistent with international law, cooperative action including through inspection of cargo to and from the DPRK, as necessary;

“9.    Decides that the provisions of paragraph 8 (d) above do not apply to financial or other assets or resources that have been determined by relevant States:

(a)     to be necessary for basic expenses, including payment for foodstuffs, rent or mortgage, medicines and medical treatment, taxes, insurance premiums, and public utility charges, or exclusively for payment of reasonable professional fees and reimbursement of incurred expenses associated with the provision of legal services, or fees or service charges, in accordance with national laws, for routine holding or maintenance of frozen funds, other financial assets and economic resources, after notification by the relevant States to the Committee of the intention to authorize, where appropriate, access to such funds, other financial assets and economic resources and in the absence of a negative decision by the Committee within five working days of such notification;

(b)     to be necessary for extraordinary expenses, provided that such determination has been notified by the relevant States to the Committee and has been approved by the Committee; or

I         to be subject of a judicial, administrative or arbitral lien or judgement, in which case the funds, other financial assets and economic resources may be used to satisfy that lien or judgement provided that the lien or judgement was entered prior to the date of the present resolution, is not for the benefit of a person referred to in paragraph 8 (d) above or an individual or entity identified by the Security Council or the Committee, and has been notified by the relevant States to the Committee;

“10.  Decides that the measures imposed by paragraph 8 (e) above shall not apply where the Committee determines on a case-by-case basis that such travel is justified on the grounds of humanitarian need, including religious obligations, or where the Committee concludes that an exemption would otherwise further the objectives of the present resolution;

“11.  Calls upon all Member States to report to the Security Council within thirty days of the adoption of this resolution on the steps they have taken with a view to implementing effectively the provisions of paragraph 8 above;

“12.  Decides to establish, in accordance with rule 28 of its provisional rules of procedure, a Committee of the Security Council consisting of all the members of the Council, to undertake the following tasks:

(a)     to seek from all States, in particular those producing or possessing the items, materials, equipment, goods and technology referred to in paragraph 8 (a) above, information regarding the actions taken by them to implement effectively the measures imposed by paragraph 8 above of this resolution and whatever further information it may consider useful in this regard;

(b)     to examine and take appropriate action on information regarding alleged violations of measures imposed by paragraph 8 of this resolution;

I         to consider and decide upon requests for exemptions set out in paragraphs 9 and 10 above;

(d)     to determine additional items, materials, equipment, goods and technology to be specified for the purpose of paragraphs 8 (a) (i) and 8 (a) (ii) above;

(e)     to designate additional individuals and entities subject to the measures imposed by paragraphs 8 (d) and 8 (e) above;

(f)     to promulgate guidelines as may be necessary to facilitate the implementation of the measures imposed by this resolution;

(g)     to report at least every 90 days to the Security Council on its work, with its observations and recommendations, in particular on ways to strengthen the effectiveness of the measures imposed by paragraph 8 above;

“13.  Welcomes and encourages further the efforts by all States concerned to intensify their diplomatic efforts, to refrain from any actions that might aggravate tension and to facilitate the early resumption of the six-party talks, with a view to the expeditious implementation of the Joint Statement issued on 19 September 2005 by China, the DPRK, Japan, the Republic of Korea, the Russian Federation and the United States, to achieve the verifiable denuclearization of the Korean peninsula and to maintain peace and stability on the Korean peninsula and in North-East Asia;

“14.  Calls upon the DPRK to return immediately to the six-party talks without precondition and to work towards the expeditious implementation of the Joint Statement issued on 19 September 2005 by China, the DPRK, Japan, the Republic of Korea, the Russian Federation and the United States;

“15.  Affirms that it shall keep DPRK’s actions under continuous review and that it shall be prepared to review the appropriateness of the measures contained in paragraph 8 above, including the strengthening, modification, suspension or lifting of the measures, as may be needed at that time in light of the DPRK’s compliance with the provisions of the resolution;

“16.  Underlines that further decisions will be required, should additional measures be necessary;

“17.  Decides to remain actively seized of the matter.

27 Responses

  1. As far as that travel ban goes, I wonder if Kim Jong Il himself would be prohibited from traveling; after all, he is Chairman of the National Defense Commission. That would surely qualify as an individual “involved in the country’s prohibited weapons programs.” That would be interesting…

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