Noland and Haggard on North Korea’s New Famine
Marcus Noland and Stephan Haggard have just published three new op-eds in an attempt to sound the alarm about North Korea’s growing new famine. The first of these you should read is an extensive discussion of the evidence supporting their dire predictions in the Korea Herald (normally unlinkable, but uploaded in pdf here).
The second is this op-ed at Newsweek, which draws an apt comparison to the situation in Burma. Although Noland and Haggard place most of the blame for this situation on wreckless and ruthless decisions by the regime, they also cast blame at the U.N. World Food Program for “unwittingly” exacerbating the situation by crying wolf — to which I would add the greater sin of being so compliant with North Korean restrictions on the delivery of that aid that the people who needed it probably saw very little of it. Just ask them.
Here, at openDemocracy, Noland and Haggard are joined by Tim Weeks.
You can read my review of their excellent new book here, and their response to my review here.
A question remains. With the aid almost come to a halt and now North Korea scrambling for aid, it seems the United States and South Korea may bring in the aid with a lot of caution. Now will North Korea be able to stop the upcoming crisis without that buffer? I think that miscalculation may have saved Kim Jong Il’s bacon.
Without serious reform, North Korea is looking for bleak times ahead with little chance of recovery in my opinion. With the elites feeling the pinch and even children begging in Pyongyang, that says a lot.