Good Friends: Suspected Avian Flu Epidemic in North Korea
Here’s Good Friends Newsletter 143: good-friends-143.pdf
A lot of people are getting sick and dying in the northeast due to a mysterious illness. The North Koreans seem to think that they have an outbreak of avian flu on their hands. If that’s true, we can thank His Porcine Majesty for a global health crisis that governments worldwide have dreaded and braced for. Among the places where dead birds were found, and where one child died, is Camp 16.
- Bird-flu Virus Emergency in North Hamgyung province
- Break-out of Bird-flu in Jungpyung County, South Hamgyong Province
- Hand”“Foot-Mouth Disease in Jangjin County, South Hamgyong
- A Gun Fire on Dandong-Sinuiju Food Smuggling Ship
- South Hwanghae, Can’t Celebrate the Founding Day of Boy Scouts
- School President, “Can’t Hold Any Sports Games While Watching Neighbors Starve”
- Thieves of Unripe Potatoes Increase
- In Pyongsung, Armed Robbers Are At Large
- In Shinyang County, Movement to Pick Herbs
- “Since Reforms, Even Dogs Are Eating White Rice in China”
- 100~150 Thousand won For Taking Out One’s Child from Farming Mobilization
- Forced Investigation on Suspicion of Trying To Cross the Border into South Korea
- Arrest of Counterfeit Note Maker
There ought to be plenty of dark irony for us when the North Koreans decide on a fitting punishment for someone who was counterfeiting their currency.
Good Friends Newsletter 144 is here: good-friends-144.doc
To simply state that there was a U.N. “inspection” of food aid needs understates matters. Good Friends is really describing a pre-planned manipulation of that inspection, not unlike what we’ve seen in the Great Famine. I wonder if it was the hungry ones or the well-fed ones who were told to say indoors.
The newsletter also reports that there have been famine deaths in parts of Pyongyang. Industries and work projects with food stockpiles are being forced to release them, while those without are being idled. The newletter also carries more grisly reports of deaths from starvation and “grass poisoning” in South Hwanghae, where conditions are worst. Here’s Good Friends’s summary:
- Widespread Food Shortage Halts Construction in Mirubul Plain, Goksan County
- Baechun County, Considerable Increase in People Dying of Starvation
- People Waiting to Starve to Death in Ryongyon county, South Hwanghae Province
- Students Mobilized for Farming at Kangwon Province Fainted from Hunger
- 65% of the Residents in Seungho District of Pyongyang Survive on Porridge
- Dukhyun Mine in Uiju County of North Pyongan Province Lost in Despair
- Grass Porridge Poisoning Makes it Unable to Recognise Faces of the Deceased
- Two People Found Dead under Ohbong Bridge in Hoeryong City
- Eunduk County: “Grass Porridge Made Us Nearly Starved To Death”
- Yanghwa-ri Farm, Shinpo Urgently Released 3 MT of Corn to Mobilize Farmers
- 2.8 Vinalon United Enterprise Urgently Released Rice
- UN Food Organization Inspected North Pyongan Province
- In Pyongyang, Some People Trade in the Alleyways
- In Kangsuh County, Many Students Are Sleeping in their Classes
- [Opinion] Urgent Call for Responses on the Famine in North Korea
Newletter 145 is here: good-friends-145.doc
The regime, now denying people their survival strategies of last resort, is threatening public execution for prostitution. Banditry is also said to be on the rise in North Hwanghae. It is also trying to close every avenue of physical, emotional, and spiritual escape: kids without a future who are turning to meth; anxious adults who are turning to Shamanistic superstitions; and fishermen who might turn their boats south.
CUT THE CHAIN OF INFECTIONS !
Spread of avian flu by drinking water:
Proved awareness to ecology and transmission is necessary to understand the spread of avian flu. For this it is insufficient exclusive to test samples from wild birds, poultry and humans for avian flu viruses. Samples from the known abiotic vehicles also have to be analysed. There are plain links between the cold, rainy seasons as well as floods and the spread of avian flu. That is just why abiotic vehicles have to be analysed. The direct biotic transmission from birds, poultry or humans to humans can not depend on the cold, rainy seasons or floods. Water is a very efficient abiotic vehicle for the spread of viruses – in particular of fecal as well as by mouth, nose and eyes excreted viruses.
Infected birds and poultry can everywhere contaminate the drinking water. All humans have very intensive contact to drinking water. Spread of avian flu by drinking water can explain small clusters in households too. Proving viruses in water is difficult because of dilution. If you find no viruses you can not be sure that there are not any. On the other hand in water viruses remain viable for a long time. Water has to be tested for influenza viruses by cell culture and in particular by the more sensitive molecular biology method PCR.
There is a widespread link between avian flu and water, e.g. in Egypt to the Nile delta or Indonesia to residential districts of less prosperous humans with backyard flocks and without central water supply as in Vietnam: http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol12no12/06-0829.htm. See also the WHO web side: http://www.who.int/water_sanitation_health/emerging/h5n1background.pdf .
Transmission of avian flu by direct contact to infected poultry is an unproved assumption from the WHO. There is no evidence that influenza primarily is transmitted by saliva droplets: “Transmission of influenza A in human beings†http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473309907700294/abstract?iseop=true .
Avian flu infections may increase in consequence to increase of virus circulation. In hot climates/the tropics flood-related influenza is typical after extreme weather and floods. Virulence of influenza viruses depends on temperature and time. Special in cases of local water supplies with “young†and fresh H5N1 contaminated water from low local wells, cisterns, tanks, rain barrels, ponds, rivers or rice paddies this pathway can explain small clusters in households. At 24°C e.g. in the tropics the virulence of influenza viruses in water amount to 2 days. In temperate climates for “older†water from central water supplies cold water is decisive to virulence of viruses. At 7°C the virulence of influenza viruses in water amount to 14 days.
Human to human and contact transmission of influenza occur – but are overvalued immense. In the course of influenza epidemics in Germany, recognized clusters are rare, accounting for just 9 percent of cases e.g. in the 2005 season. In temperate climates the lethal H5N1 virus will be transferred to humans via cold drinking water, as with the birds in February and March 2006, strong seasonal at the time when drinking water has its temperature minimum.
The performance to eliminate viruses from the drinking water processing plants regularly does not meet the requirements of the WHO and the USA/USEPA. Conventional disinfection procedures are poor, because microorganisms in the water are not in suspension, but embedded in particles. Even ground water used for drinking water is not free from viruses.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=26096&Cr=&Cr1
Ducks and rice [paddies = flooded by water] major factors in bird flu outbreaks, says UN agency
Ducks and rice fields may be a critical factor in spreading H5N1
26 March 2008 – Ducks, rice [fields, paddies = flooded by water! Farmers on work drink the water from rice paddies!] and people – and not chickens – have emerged as the most significant factors in the spread of avian influenza in Thailand and Viet Nam, according to a study carried out by a group of experts from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and associated research centres.
“Mapping H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza risk in Southeast Asia: ducks, rice and people†also finds that these factors are probably behind persistent outbreaks in other countries such as Cambodia and Laos.
The study, which examined a series of waves of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza in Thailand and Viet Nam between early 2004 and late 2005, was initiated and coordinated by FAO senior veterinary officer Jan Slingenbergh and just published in the latest issue of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States.
Through the use of satellite mapping, researchers looked at a number of different factors, including the numbers of ducks, geese and chickens, human population size, rice cultivation and geography, and found a strong link between duck grazing patterns and rice cropping intensity.
In Thailand, for example, the proportion of young ducks in flocks was found to peak in September-October; these rapidly growing young ducks can therefore benefit from the peak of the rice harvest in November-December [at the beginning of the cold: Thailand, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos are situated – different from Indonesia – in the northern hemisphere].
“These peaks in congregation of ducks indicate periods in which there is an increase in the chances for virus release and exposure, and rice paddies often become a temporary habitat for wild bird species,†the agency said in a news release.
“We now know much better where and when to expect H5N1 flare-ups, and this helps to target prevention and control,†said Mr. Slingenbergh. “In addition, with virus persistence becoming increasingly confined to areas with intensive rice-duck agriculture in eastern and south-eastern Asia, evolution of the H5N1 virus may become easier to predict.â€
He said the findings can help better target control efforts and replace indiscriminate mass vaccination.
FAO estimates that approximately 90 per cent of the world’s more than 1 billion domestic ducks are in Asia, with about 75 per cent of that in China and Viet Nam. Thailand has about 11 million ducks.
Dipl.-Ing. Wilfried Soddemann – Epidemiologist – Free Science Journalist soddemann-aachen@t-online.de http://www.dugi-ev.de/information.html