Monthly Archive: October, 2012

Open Sources, October 26, 2012

I THINK THIS SAYS IT ALL: “This story may or may not be true.” ——————————————————- CAMP 22 UPDATE: The Daily NK reports on who it believes now occupies the camp, but I still have questions. ——————————————————- USFK TRIES TO REJOIN U.S. ARMY by expressing interest in joining off-peninsula exercises. And in other USFK news, I’m glad to see that Leon Panetta and Kim Kwang-Jin are putting some thought into how to respond to limited North Korean provocations, more than two...

UK production company making animated feature of Nothing to Envy.

Nothing to Envy was a terrific book – maybe the best book about North Korea I’ve read – but … animated?  Well, yes.   From the production company: THE FILM Directed by BAFTA-winning filmmaker Andy Glynne, Nothing to Envy is a new animated feature length film about life inside one of the most impenetrable and brutal regimes in the world – North Korea. Told through the true stories of defectors, this film will combine testimony with rich and vivid animation to provide...

HRNK publishes Camp 22 imagery

HRNK seems to have gotten its hands on imagery of Camp 22 without the restrictive end-user license terms that came with the imagery I’d analyzed here.  Now, you can examine it for yourself at HRNK’s site and compare it to Google Earth imagery on your own.  If you spot something, say it in the comments. For what it’s worth, I see at least one change at Camp 22 that’s significant enough to be worth continued watching, to see what other...

End of Bureau 39 Wouldn’t Mean the End of N. Korea’s Criminal Enterprises

Reports last week claimed that, according to “sources familiar with North Korean affairs,” North Korea had shut down Bureau 39 of the Workers’ Party — responsible for obtaining hard currency by any means necessary, including illicit activities — and Bureau 38, responsible for managing the regime’s overseas funds. Are any of the reports true?  My default position about any “insider” reports from Pyongyang is skepticism, and a quick Google search reveals that we’ve heard many versions of this story before.  For example, Office...

Syria, the next Afghanistan?

The Flock isn’t moving that way now, but I still defend the Obama Administration’s military and diplomatic approach to the Libyan civil war.  Qaddafi was mentally unstable, mentally unstable people are dangerous, and his regime was an ideal breeding ground for extremism.  If things hadn’t changed, they’d only have continued to get worse. Better for us to have supported the more moderate elements than to have allowed the extremists to make Libya their own, as would have eventually happened (and...

Open Sources: North Korea threatens to fire on South Korea; South Korea says it will fire back

NORTH KOREA THREATENS to fire on people, many of them North Korean refugees, for floating leaflet balloons into their former homeland.  Here’s the original, from KCNA: The Western Front Command of the KPA issues following notice upon authorization: 1. Rimjin Pavilion in Phaju City, location from where the puppet forces made public they would send leaflets and its surrounding area will become targets of direct firing of the KPA from now. The location is the origin of provocation which can...

North Korean Reform Watch 8

CHINA ELECTRIFIES its border fence with North Korea, reportedly with a below-lethal 220 volts (for now). ————————————————– NORTH KOREA WARNS ITS CITIZENS against contact with foreigners: According to the source, “The lecturers put it like this: ‘foreigners are envious of our ideology and will try to undermine it,’ and emphasize that ‘we should not communicate with them because they could be enemy forces in disguise trying to attack our socialist ways and spread bad ideas.’” The source continued, “The lecture...

Open Sources, October 17, 2012

THE ONION: Seed Of World War III Planted In Beijing Middle-School Gym Class. ————————————————– AGREED FRAMEWORK III WATCH:  North Korea still isn’t interested in nuclear disarmament, and our diplomats are still secretly chasing a deal, knowing full well that North Korea won’t disarm.  But for what conceivable purpose?  I repeat my suspicion that these contacts wouldn’t be happening if the Obama Administration wasn’t laying the groundwork for more “flexible” post-election diplomacy.  Those involved (Bosworth, Wit, etc.) are connected with the...

Reform Watch: North Korea can now afford to bury its orphans in Snoopy T-shirts

As a vibrant market economy arises from an underdeveloped one, it does not lift all boats as a rising tide would.  Some get very rich fast, and some stay very poor.  Such periods of rapid development are politically risky times, as uneducated masses are drawn away from their hardscrabble farm lives and packed into factory dormitories, slums, and shanty towns in the cities.  Those places become hothouses of envy and radicalism that can bring down the political systems in which...

New satellite imagery shows few changes at Camp 22

Those of us who watch North Korea spend a lot of time speculating, either because the truth is unknowable or because it’s not of interest to many of those who report the news for a living, or even to most of the top executives of the human rights industry. But when I read the reports of Camp 22’s closure, I decided not to settle for speculation this time.  These reports were simply too horrible, and too consequential, to be left at...

Open Sources, October 11, 2012

WHAT? STATE’S EAST ASIA BUREAU COLLABORATING WITH CHINESE OFFICIALS who unjustly imprison and torture a U.S. citizen? Say it aint so. ————————————- DON’T TELL ME SANCTIONS CAN’T WORK; they’re certainly exceeding my expectations in Iran. Iran, unlike North Korea, has a functioning market economy. That means that its economy has more international exposure, but also that it’s more difficult to isolate. And yet we seem to have had enough success to threaten the stability of its regime. ————————————- AS YE...

Yes, even AP reporters can do good reporting from North Korea

Finally. An AP reporter goes to North Korea and puts the showpieces of Pyongyang into the context of how people in the rest of North Korea live. Naturally, the reporter is Tim Sullivan. There are no nightspots here, no modern apartment complexes, no electricity except for a few hours every evening. The shelves in most stores are noticeably half-empty, and dirt sidestreets lead to clusters of small houses, many little more than shacks, with bulging walls and broken roofs. It...

Conference on North Korean political prison camps and refugees, this Friday in Los Angeles

This Friday, the Museum of Tolerance, in cooperation with the Simon Wiesenthal Center, Liberty in North Korea and the Committee for Human Rights in North Korea, will host a conference on human rights in North Korea. According to the agenda flyer, which you can see at this link, “The event will conclude with a book signing by Melanie Kirkpatrick (author of Escape from North Korea, The Untold Story of Asia’s Underground Railroad), Blaine Harden (author of Escape from Camp 14),...

North Korean soldier frags 2 officers, defects across DMZ

Reuters reports: A North Korean soldier killed two of his officers before crossing the heavily mined border into South Korea on Saturday, South Korea’s defence ministry and media reports said.  [….] Local media quoted a statement from the Joint Chiefs of Staff as saying the North Korean soldier crossed the western section of the border at around noon. The North Korean claimed that he shot dead his platoon and squad chiefs while on guard duty shortly before his border crossing, according to the reports. The unnamed defector was being questioned by...

Open Sources, October 5, 2012

WHILE 30,000 STARVED IN CAMP 22: Saenuri Party lawmaker Yoon Sang-hyun, a member of the National Assembly`s foreign affairs, trade and unification committee, released Wednesday an analysis of closed trade data between North Korea and China, saying the North`s imports of luxury goods via Chinese customs reached 446.17 million U.S. dollars in 2010 and 584.82 million dollars last year. The figure was 272.14 million dollars in 2008 and 322.53 million dollars in 2009. Kim Jong Un debuted in the Stalinist...

Open Sources, October 4, 2012

YAWN:  North Korea goes to the U.N., an organization it ought to have been expelled from a decade ago, and threatens nuclear war. ———————————————- IN IRAN, JOURNALISM IMITATES PARODY, but we’ve known the same about North Korea for a while now, haven’t we? ———————————————- DEATH STAR INDEED:  The Daily Mail piles on the empty shell that is the Ryugyong Hotel.  If the reports about Camp 22’s liquidation are correct, the regime was choosing to starve the prisoners at the same time it was also choosing...

The Liquidation of Camp 22

I have updated the Camp 22 page to reflect the latest reports of its closure. According to one of those reports, out of an estimated 2010 population of 30,000 prisoners, all but 3,000 were starved to death and burned to ashes in a crematorium. The latter detail comes from a Korean-language Radion Free Asia report that reports details the Daily NK didn’t, so it suggests multiple sourcing. The people I’ve reached out to in the last few days sound convinced...

North Korean Reform Watch 7

BURIED WITHIN THIS DAILY NK REPORT about the rumored merger of multiple regime-owned businesses was this dire statement: “At the time of writing, the price of rice has reached an outlandish 6700 won/kg even in Pyongyang itself, while also arriving at 7000 won in Onsung County and 6500 won in Hyesan, putting those people without foreign currency in a very difficult situation.” It’s remarkable how similar the Pyongyang price is to the prices in Onsung and Hyesan, two of North...