Squeeze Play

In the wake of the recent news that Japan has imposed economic sanctions in the disguise of a new insurance requirement for incoming ships, the United States is also looking for ways to amplify the shock. The New York Times reports: In the months before North Korea announced that it possessed nuclear weapons, the Bush administration began developing new strategies to choke off its few remaining sources of income, based on techniques in use against Al Qaeda, intelligence officials and...

Squeeze Play

In the wake of the recent news that Japan has imposed economic sanctions in the disguise of a new insurance requirement for incoming ships, the United States is also looking for ways to amplify the shock. The New York Times reports: In the months before North Korea announced that it possessed nuclear weapons, the Bush administration began developing new strategies to choke off its few remaining sources of income, based on techniques in use against Al Qaeda, intelligence officials and...

UAVs Over Iran

A much-discussed story in the Washington Post today. Our UAVs have been watching suspected nuclear sites, including low-level flights using air filters that can pick up airborne radionuclides. And since it’s Iran, of course, the flights have caused widespread UFO rumors. Doesn’t it seem likely that we’ve been doing the same over North Korea? I certainly suspect we’ve been doing manned spy flights (yes, the claims are from North Korea, but even paranoid people have real enemies, right?). Extending that...

Iraqi Election Results Out

Ayatollah Sistani’s favored party did not get a majority, which is good news. It means everyone will need to sit down and hammer out a compromise, and that everyone of electoral significance will (at least initially) bind itself to living with it. Prime Minister Allawi’s Iraqi list is in talks with President Ghazi Al-Yawar’s moderate Sunnis and with the Communist Party, trying to form a large enough bloc of secular votes in the Parliament to check the power of clerical...

Will China Lower the Boom on Pyongyang?

China is not happy with North Korea. Semi-official views are coming from Chinese scholars, and now there are some official statements from the Chinese government. Don’t be particularly encouraged by any of this. What China (and Russia) want is the status quo ante, with North Korea keeping up its churlish behavior and tying down part of the U.S. military in Northeast Asia. Neither Russia nor China wants to face the threat of a unified, democratic, and economically resurgent Korea that...

Ambassador Lilley on Fox News

Heard him on Fox News Sunday a few minute ago. Major points he made: There is no military option; North Korea could destroy half of Seoul with “conventional” weapons (I agree that invasion is not an option, and that strikes might not be worth the risk that they’d trigger war. I continue to believe that a naval blockade is an option, although it’s probably not our first choice. The best military option is to arm the people of North Korea...

UAVs Over Iran

A much-discussed story in the Washington Post today. Our UAVs have been watching suspected nuclear sites, including low-level flights using air filters that can pick up airborne radionuclides. And since it’s Iran, of course, the flights have caused widespread UFO rumors. Doesn’t it seem likely that we’ve been doing the same over North Korea? I certainly suspect we’ve been doing manned spy flights (yes, the claims are from North Korea, but even paranoid people have real enemies, right?). Extending that...

Iraqi Election Results Out

Ayatollah Sistani’s favored party did not get a majority, which is good news. It means everyone will need to sit down and hammer out a compromise, and that everyone of electoral significance will (at least initially) bind itself to living with it. Prime Minister Allawi’s Iraqi list is in talks with President Ghazi Al-Yawar’s moderate Sunnis and with the Communist Party, trying to form a large enough bloc of secular votes in the Parliament to check the power of clerical...

Will China Lower the Boom on Pyongyang?

China is not happy with North Korea. Semi-official views are coming from Chinese scholars, and now there are some official statements from the Chinese government. Don’t be particularly encouraged by any of this. What China (and Russia) want is the status quo ante, with North Korea keeping up its churlish behavior and tying down part of the U.S. military in Northeast Asia. Neither Russia nor China wants to face the threat of a unified, democratic, and economically resurgent Korea that...

Ambassador Lilley on Fox News

Heard him on Fox News Sunday a few minute ago. Major points he made: There is no military option; North Korea could destroy half of Seoul with “conventional” weapons (I agree that invasion is not an option, and that strikes might not be worth the risk that they’d trigger war. I continue to believe that a naval blockade is an option, although it’s probably not our first choice. The best military option is to arm the people of North Korea...