Lankov and Klingner on NK Succession

At the Daily NK, two of the more sober and best-informed analysts offer some fairly scary prognostications (Klingner here, Lankov here).  I tend to agree with the idea that we’re going to see more instability there.  I’ve been saying that for a long time, but I also expect things to accelerate soon.  No one could have imagined that Libya and Syria would become unstable a year ago, and just look at those places now.  The more repressive the regime, the...

Kim Jong Il: Please don’t let him be misunderstood.

We’re still waiting to see who’s willing to print Selig Harrison’s requiem for Kim Jong Il, but in the meantime, there are plenty of tools out there who say that Kim Jong Il was really just misunderstood.  First up is pretty much what you’d expect from the British left: But seeing how South Korea has turned out — its Koreanness utterly submerged in neon, hip-hop and every imaginable American influence, a romantic can allow himself a small measure of melancholy:...

So he’s a high school dropout, he has a small nuclear arsenal, and he’s into torturing small animals and bondage porn. Anything else?

Soon enough, we’ll see different narratives about Kim Jong Eun emerge. North Koreans are already hearing about Kim Jong-Eun’s badass marksmanship, and I suppose we’ll see him credited with superhuman intellence next. Foreigners will want to believe he’s the next Gorbachev, and trust me, Peter Pan had nothing on our State Department. I’d love to believe that myself. And I suspect a certain former Washington Post reporter and frequent Pyongyang visitor is presently writing an op-ed telling us all that...

He was a god, you know

At times like this, I do wish that the Korean Friendship Association would enable comments: North Korea says a fierce snowstorm paused and the sky began glowing red above sacred Mount Paektu just minutes before leader Kim Jong Il’s death. State media say the ice on volcanic Lake Chon at the mountain in the far north cracked with a load roar.  And in the city of Hamhung, a Manchurian crane circled a statue of Kim’s father, late President Kim Il...

Kim Jong Eun’s Reign Will Be Unmercifully Brief

By now, the conventional wisdom on North Korea’s succession has solidified around Jang Song-Thaek as the power behind the scenes in North Korea, in concert with other key figures who began to consolidate their power in 2009, after Kim Jong-Il’s strok — Jang’s wife and Kim Jong-Il’s sister, Kim Kyong-Hui, O Kuk Ryol, and Ju Sang-Sung. Much has been said about how little we know about Kim Jong-Eun, officially, the Great Successor.  His anointing began in 2009, after Kim Jong-Il’s...

Kim Jong Il Dead

Good riddance to him. Any bets on who will actually run the place now? It’s hard to imagine that anyone can fill the psychological void he leaves. It doesn’t matter that most North Koreans undoubtedly despised him. He was still a tremendous, terrible presence that no one else can be. [KCNA, Reuters] [Reuters, Kim Kyung-Hoon] Update: Here are some posts that seem freshly relevant: – Boldly, I had predicted that Kim Jong Il would die. But we could see this...

December 18, 2011

There are a few things I can’t let pass without comment this weekend. The defection of a squad of armed North Korean soldiers — if true, as the compulsory caveat goes — could open a new chapter in the Kim Dynasty’s erosive dialectic. This sort of defection can’t happen on a mass scale despite the forceful suppression of the two fascist regimes that border the Yalu, but it does suggest that when North Korea eventually devolves into something like what...

December 10, 2011 – Citizens’ Rally and Walk on Behalf of the Daughter of Tongyeong

From NKnet: On Saturday, December 10* in Seoul join South Korean citizens who have been walking 680km to rescue the Daughter of Tongyeong and her two daughters from imprisonment in North Korea for over 20 years. Performances “¢ Elec-Cookie “¢ Traditional Martial Arts Performance “¢ Modern Dance Performance “¢ NB Crew (B-Boy group) “¢ A Song for Abductees ““ sung by singer Lee Kwang Pil “¢ Answer (North Korean Song Troupe) “¢ Ha-Ha-Ho-Ho (Brass Ensemble) Ongoing during the day “¢...

December 9th, 2011 – Worldwide Demonstration Protesting Genocide and Crimes Against Humanity in North Korea

Seoul-based Korean-American activist Kang Hun-Sok, who was introduced to me online by a trusted friend, asks for my assistance in getting the word out about a coordinated series of demonstrations next week. I’m glad to do so, and hope that other bloggers out there will do the same. Mr. Kang’s press release follows: ===================================== This is an international call to protest on December 9th, 2011, 63rd anniversary of the United Nations Genocide Convention which North Korea is violating in every...

N. Korea Threatens to Destroy S. Korean President’s House

So, if I’d been asleep for the last six months, would I awake to find that the whole world had changed? Or would I roll over to see that the whole world was still snoring right there beside me? Via the AP: North Korea has threatened to turn South Korea’s presidential palace into a “sea of fire” in response to any provocation, a day after Seoul’s military held a big exercise near the border. The land, sea and air drill...

Darusman Disappoints (Me, Mostly)

Maruzki Darusman gave a press conference this morning to convey the results of his six-day trip to South Korea. The contents of my report on the event were published by Daily NK  at the time, and are also republished below; Maruzki Darusman, the UN’s special rapporteur on North Korean human rights issues, believes there has been no improvement since he took on the role in 2010, and has once again urged Pyongyang to take action to remedy its multitude of...

NKHR Film Festival, NKDB/US-Korea Institute Seminar

(seminar info updated below) NKnet is hosting a North Korean Human Rights International Film Festival in Seoul on November 10-11, 2011.  Let this also serve as the official OFK announcement that NKnet has a new English-language website ready for your consumption. _____________________________ The US-Korea Institute at SAIS and the Database Center for North Korean Human Rights are joining forces again for a seminar in Washington, DC, soon: Building a Strategy on North Korean Human Rights: International Perspectives with Keynote Address...

Interesting News in a Slow News Month

Two  pieces of interesting news. First, there is now a way for people who are not in Seoul or Tongyeong to sign the petition to save Shin Suk Ja and her two daughters, and thus  maybe, just maybe, to close those dastardly prison camps that have been so comprehensively described right here in the past! Second, I have made the full text of ‘NK People Speak, 2011’ available on the Daily NK database for those of you who cannot wait...

Open Sources

The Grand National Party officially enters election mode with the old “Northern Wind” play: South Korea’s ruling party chief crossed the border into North Korea to tour a joint inter-Korean industrial complex on Friday, saying it is “a politician’s obligation” to break the deadlock in inter-Korean relations. [….] The one-day trip by Rep. Hong Joon-pyo, chairman of the ruling Grand National Party, comes after he called for Seoul to exercise flexibility on its policy toward Pyongyang to try to improve...

Al-Kibar Redux

There’s nothing more I really care to say about what we should have done about the North Korean-built nuclear reactor at Al-Kibar in Syria, which Israel destroyed in a September 2009 air strike. This was a matter of some temporary inconvenience to Chris Hill’s efforts (abetted by the President and Secretary of State) to sell us a shiny, pre-owned agreed framework, complete with rust-proofing and warranty. Recently, however, Dick Cheney’s memoir has revived that debate. Michael Anton, writing in The...